Katia to hit UK Sunday..maybe worst in 300 yrs.

Posted Today, 08:53

map for Sun 11th Sept 2011

After a spectacular swerve to miss the USA Hurricane Katia is heading for Ireland and the UK. Hopefully it will pass to the north, on Sunday and Monday, but if high pressure weakens unexpectedly to he south it could be a major disaster.

The remains of the gigantic Hurricane Katia could be the worst storm to hit Britain and Ireland for over 300 years, in line with totally uncontrolled CO2 emissions and runaway Climate Change events now beginning. The ice melt in the artic so far this year has been the second worst  since records  began..

Expect a significant wind event with this, maximum gusts likely to reach 60 mph in the south and central parts of England, 70 mph in Wales and many parts of southern Ireland, and 80-100 mph in northern parts of Ireland and western Scotland, possibly also northwest England.

Signs that the track may continue to nudge south as Katia races into a strong confluent zone and tight jet stream. The high impact zone could also shift south as a result. But I would already be quite concerned in regions like Mayo, Donegal, and the Western Isles.

Timing of strongest winds 0600-1200 Monday in Ireland to 0900-1500 western Scotland from current maps.

Full moon timed for Monday also, will cause tidal ranges to be unusually high on south and west facing coasts, large swells likely from combined effects of Katia and previous storm, and battering wave potential with some risk of storm surges into a few exposed bays (notably Galway Bay, and in western Scotland).
Edited by Roger J Smith, Today, 08:57.

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